AI Ethics
8/28/2025
22 min read
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AI, Criminal Justice, and Carceral Technology: The Case for Transformative Justice

Critical analysis of AI applications in criminal justice, predictive policing, prison surveillance, and the movement toward community-controlled alternatives that prioritize healing and transformative justice over punishment and control.

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By Compens AI Research Team

Insurance Claims Expert

AI, Criminal Justice, and Carceral Technology: The Case for Transformative Justice currently

Artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming criminal justice systems in ways that amplify existing inequalities while creating new forms of digital control and surveillance. From predictive policing algorithms that reinforce racial bias to prison surveillance systems that generate profits from mass incarceration, AI in criminal justice serves carceral control rather than community safety or healing.

This comprehensive analysis examines how AI is being deployed in criminal justice systems, its harmful impacts on communities, and the movement toward transformative justice alternatives that prioritize community healing and safety over punishment and control.

The Expansion of AI in Criminal Justice

Predictive Policing and Algorithmic Surveillance

Predictive policing represents one of the most widespread applications of AI in criminal justice, with police departments across the country deploying algorithms to predict where crimes will occur and who will commit them:

Geographic Crime Prediction: AI systems analyze historical crime data to predict where crimes will occur, directing police patrol and surveillance to specific neighborhoods. These systems reinforce existing patterns of over-policing in communities of color while failing to improve actual safety outcomes.

Individual Risk Assessment: Algorithms evaluate individuals to predict their likelihood of committing crimes or violating parole conditions, leading to increased surveillance and control over people who have not committed any new offenses.

Social Network Analysis: AI systems map community relationships and social networks to identify people for police monitoring based on their associations rather than any criminal activity.

Real-Time Crime Detection: Automated systems using sensor networks, surveillance cameras, and social media monitoring claim to detect crimes in real-time, creating comprehensive surveillance networks in communities.

Gang Database Algorithms: AI systems categorize community members as "gang-affiliated" based on social relationships, geographic location, and other factors, criminalizing normal community associations.

The Failure of Predictive Policing

Despite claims of objectivity and effectiveness, predictive policing systems consistently fail to improve community safety while causing significant harm:

Reinforcing Racial Bias: Predictive policing algorithms reproduce and amplify existing patterns of racial discrimination in policing. Because these systems are trained on historical crime data that reflects decades of biased policing, they direct police resources disproportionately to communities of color.

Creating Feedback Loops: Increased police presence in communities predicted to have crime leads to more arrests in those areas, which generates more data showing crime in those communities, creating self-reinforcing cycles of over-policing.

Criminalizing Poverty and Survival: Predictive algorithms often identify markers of poverty—such as certain addresses, social services usage, or neighborhood characteristics—as crime predictors, effectively criminalizing economic inequality.

Failing to Prevent Crime: Studies consistently show that predictive policing does not reduce crime rates or improve community safety. Instead, it shifts police resources without addressing root causes of harm.

Undermining Community Trust: The use of AI surveillance systems further damages police-community relationships and reduces community members' willingness to cooperate with public safety efforts.

AI in Courts and Sentencing

AI systems increasingly influence critical decisions about pretrial detention, sentencing, and parole:

Risk Assessment Tools: Algorithms evaluate defendants' likelihood of failing to appear for court or committing new crimes, influencing decisions about bail, sentencing, and parole. These tools consistently exhibit racial bias, leading to harsher treatment of Black and Latino defendants.

Automated Case Processing: AI systems process cases, predict outcomes, and make recommendations about plea bargains and sentencing, reducing complex human situations to algorithmic calculations.

Recidivism Prediction: Algorithms claim to predict whether someone will commit future crimes, influencing sentences and parole decisions based on statistical correlations rather than individual circumstances.

Resource Allocation: AI systems determine how court resources are allocated, potentially affecting defendants' access to adequate legal representation and fair hearings.

Carceral Surveillance and Prison Technology

Digital Control in Prisons

AI surveillance technology in prisons and jails creates unprecedented monitoring and control over incarcerated people:

Automated Monitoring Systems: AI systems monitor every aspect of prison life, from movement and behavior to communications with family and friends, creating total surveillance environments.

Behavior Prediction: Algorithms analyze incarcerated people's behavior to predict misconduct, violence, or other concerns, leading to preemptive punishment and isolation based on statistical predictions rather than actual actions.

Communication Surveillance: AI systems monitor and analyze all phone calls, emails, and video visits between incarcerated people and their families, violating privacy and undermining family relationships.

Disciplinary Automation: Algorithms make decisions about disciplinary actions, housing assignments, and privileges, removing human judgment and discretion from decisions that profoundly affect people's lives.

Labor Management: AI systems assign work details, manage prison labor, and optimize productivity in prison industries that exploit incarcerated workers for profit.

Electronic Monitoring and Digital Prisons

Electronic monitoring systems create "digital prisons" that extend carceral control into communities:

GPS Tracking: People on parole, probation, or pretrial release are monitored through GPS ankle monitors that track their location 24/7, creating constant surveillance.

Alcohol and Drug Monitoring: Devices monitor people's alcohol consumption and drug use, often leading to reincarceration for violations that would not otherwise be criminal.

Communication Restrictions: AI systems monitor phone calls, text messages, and internet usage, restricting people's ability to communicate freely with family and friends.

Movement Control: Algorithms determine where people can go, when they can travel, and who they can see, severely limiting freedom and community reintegration.

Transformative Justice and Community Safety

Community-Controlled Safety Alternatives

Rather than relying on carceral AI systems, communities are developing alternatives that prioritize healing and transformation:

Violence Intervention Programs: Community-controlled programs that interrupt cycles of violence through mediation, mentorship, and conflict resolution.

Restorative Justice: Processes that bring together people who have been harmed and people who have caused harm to address the impact of harmful actions and prevent future harm.

Community Accountability: Grassroots processes for addressing harm that focus on accountability, healing, and transformation rather than punishment.

Mutual Aid and Community Support: Networks of mutual aid that address basic needs and reduce conditions that contribute to harm in communities.

Community Self-Defense: Collective strategies for community safety that don't rely on police or carceral systems.

Healing-Centered Approaches

Transformative justice prioritizes healing for both individuals and communities:

Trauma-Informed Care: Approaches that recognize the impact of trauma and focus on healing rather than punishment.

Community Healing: Processes that address collective trauma and build community resilience and wellbeing.

Cultural Healing: Approaches rooted in cultural traditions and Indigenous practices of healing and accountability.

Mental Health Support: Community-controlled mental health resources that address underlying causes of harm and distress.

Substance Abuse Treatment: Community-based treatment approaches that address addiction as a health issue rather than a criminal one.

Building Community Power for Justice

Organizing Strategies

Building power to challenge carceral AI and create transformative alternatives requires strategic organizing:

Coalition Building: Bringing together communities affected by carceral AI with broader movements for racial, economic, and social justice.

Electoral Strategies: Supporting candidates and ballot measures that oppose carceral AI and support transformative justice alternatives.

Direct Action: Using protest, civil disobedience, and other direct action tactics to challenge harmful AI deployment and demand community alternatives.

Community Education: Building community understanding of how AI affects criminal justice and what alternatives are possible.

Policy Advocacy: Advocating for legislation that limits harmful AI use and invests in community safety alternatives.

The struggle over AI in criminal justice is ultimately about power: who controls technology, who benefits from it, and whose vision of safety and justice it serves. Communities are building alternatives and demanding the power to determine their own safety and wellbeing.

The future is not predetermined. The decisions made about AI and criminal justice today will shape whether technology serves liberation or oppression, healing or harm, community empowerment or corporate control.

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